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Midcon Observer - Northern Border Consistently Lower; Comfortable Temps Equal Low Demand
Canadian inflows on Northern Border are down 87 MMcf/d from last week's average of 2,131 MMcf/d, to a consistent 2,066 MMcf/d today. This trend ... has caused downward pressure on AECO prices with Midcon demand spiraling below 7.0 Bcf/d. Southeast-Gulf inflows managed to increase while Canadian flows fell last week. AECO is becoming more attractive at lower prices though, so Northern border could resume levels above 2,100 MMcf/d again shortly.more
9/7/2010 | 9:00 AMMidcon Observer (Daily)
Gulf Coast Production Analytic Report - Gulf Coast Production Bounces Back Over Weekend
Since last Friday, total Gulf Coast production has increased from 8,186 MMcf/d to 8,432 MMcf/d.  Offshore production by itself bounced to an ... average of 6,690 MMcf/d over the holiday weekend after dropping to 6,497 MMcf/d last Friday with a 118 MMcf/d increase in flows coming on Transco pipeline.  Onshore production increased slightly over the weekend as well.  Flows in Texas Onshore have increased above 900 MMcf/d today after dipping to 864 MMcf/d last Friday.  Onshore production flows in Texas are still down from their average of 1,081 MMcf/d in August.more
9/7/2010 | 8:54 AMGulf Coast Production
Canadian Observer - Western Canadian Storage Increase; Northeast Exports Fall
Western Canadian net storage injections increased 1.3 Bcf from yesterday, which brought inventory levels to 17.9 Bcf higher than levels seen ... this time last year.  Alberta is still the leading province after increasing inventories by 1.1 Bcf.  With storage in all three provinces more than 90% full, with production levels staying strong, and temperatures starting to cool, expect to see inventory levels remain well above last year's numbers.more
9/7/2010 | 8:28 AMCanadian Observer (Daily)
Northeast Observer - Storage Injections Expected to Increase With Forecast Moderate Tempuratures
Total Northeast demand is 9.6 Bcf/d today, up 1.8 Bcf/d  after rebounding from the milder temperatures that moved through the region over the ... Labor Day weekend.  Implied storage injections increased over the weekend, averaging 4,066 MMcf/d as total Northeast demand was down 3,481 MMcf/d from the previous week to 7,917 MMcf/d.  Northeast supply averaged 11,983 MMcf/d due to the mild temperatures that moved through the region.  Implied storage injections will remain high this week as demand is forecast to be near or slightly below normal.    •  Additional commentary on page 2.more
9/7/2010 | 8:25 AMNortheast Observer (Daily)
Pacific NW Observer (Weekly) - Price Volatility and Falling Temperatures, Demand Hit Pacific NW
Although Pacific NW demand fell 57 MMcf/d week-over-week, cash basis in the region posted significant gains. The rally extended across the West, ... and points to the market having entered September short supply, even as demand will continue to decline on cooler weather.more
9/7/2010 | 8:15 AMPacific NW Observer (Weekly)
Southeast/Gulf Observer - SE/Gulf Outflows Dip below 14.0 Bcf/d
SE/Gulf outflows fell to its levels since September 2009 as net spreads thinned to pennies on many of the major routes out of the area. The largest ... impact was to supply out of South Texas and South Louisiana on the I3 and I5 corridors.  In particular, the I3 corridor almost dropped below zero, indicating net supply was moving south out of Perryville toward Henry Hub.more
9/7/2010 | 6:35 AMSoutheast/Gulf Observer (Daily)
Texas Observer - Decreased Demand Drives Strong Storage Injections in Texas
Implied storage injections jumped to 3.2 Bcf/d due to a sharp drop in demand over the long holiday weekend.  The shift should lead to a strong ... Producing Region storage injection next week with an estimated 12.7 Bcf already in the ground.  The shift in demand also drove net outflows down to below 8.1 Bcf/d through the entire weekend.  South Texas outflows were hit especially hard, falling to its lowest level since the end of April.more
9/7/2010 | 6:19 AMTexas Observer (Daily)
Supply/Demand Balance Analytic Report - Demand Plummets Over the Weekend, Off Over 10 Bcf/d From Friday Levels
U.S. demand dropped to a low of 47.3 Bcf/d over the long holiday weekend, a decline of 10.8 Bcf/d from Friday levels.  Implied storage injections ... rocketed to a high of 18.7 Bcf/d on Saturday due to the low levels of demand, pushing outweek storage injection forecasts into the triple digits (see top of Page 2). On the supply side, production is holding steady above 62 Bcf/d.  For the first full week of September, U.S. marketed production is averaging a heady 4.2 Bcf/d more than the first seven days of Sept. 2009.  This is helping push the year-to-date average versus 2009 to 0.6 Bcf/d greater and further tightening the year over year supply demand balance.more
9/7/2010 | 6:03 AMSupply/Demand Balance
California SW Observer - California/SW Demand Forecast to Recede This Week
Total regional demand remained relatively steady, dropping little more than 200 MMcf/d from Friday over the long holiday weekend. But implied ... injections jumped, bringing storage levels back to to more than 90% of full in both PG&E and SoCal systems.more
9/7/2010 | 6:02 AMCalifornia SW Observer (Daily)
Rockies Observer - Green River and Piceance Contribute to Another Production High
For the second time in the last week, total Rockies production reached a new high for the year on Sunday and yesterday at 9,578 MMcf/d.  GR and ... Piceance basins contributed the largest production gains over the weekend, increasing 72 and 20 MMcf/d to 3,826 and 2,023 MMcf/d, respectively. With the higher weekend production, outbound flows climbed 26 MMcf/d since Friday. Outflows to the Southwest on Northwest pipeline increased 23 MMcf/d to 361 MMcf/d, while flows on Kern River increased 6 MMcf/d to 2,144 MMcf/d. Although production increased over the weekend, prices in the Rockies region climbed another 2 cents in trading Friday, while adjacent markets decreased between 7 and 14 cents. Net cash spreads tightened to all major market areas.more
9/7/2010 | 5:58 AMRockies Observer (Daily)
Nuclear Plant Status Analytic Report - Little Change in Nuclear Outages Over Weekend
Today, total gas burn needed to replace nuclear outages increased 239 MMcf/d (17%) to 715 MMcf/d.
9/7/2010 | 5:53 AMNuclear Plant Status
Power Burn Analytic Report - Power Burn off Nearly 8 Bcf/d Since the Beginning of the Month
U.S. power burn has declined just over 8 Bcf/d since the beginning of the month to reach 22.6 Bcf/d today. It is expected to remain below 24 ... Bcf/d over the next 14 days due to declining temperatures at the U.S. which are expected to be near normal levelsmore
9/7/2010 | 5:45 AMPower Burn Analytic Report (Daily)
Industrial End Users Analytic Report - Lowest 2010 Industrial Demand Levels Seen Over Holiday Weekend
Over Labor Day weekend, U.S. industrial demand fell to its lowest level seen this year. Yesterday, demand fell to 15.2 Bcf/d. Looking back to ... 2009, demand began its sharp increase during Labor Day weekend due to extremely low natural gas prices. This year, the drop in demand was expected and is a normal trend seen in prior years.more
9/7/2010 | 5:38 AMIndustrial End Users
BENTEK Energy: 103 New Points Added to Our Database
We've added 103 new points to our database in the last thirty days. Bridgeline: 2 new points; Centerpoint: 1 new point; Cimarron River: 1 new ... point; Crosstex LIG: 4 new points; Enbridge Ontario: 1 new point; Gulf South: 3 new points; NG - Boston Gas: 31 new points; NG - Colonial Gas: 8 new points; NG - Energy North: 7 new points; NG - Essex Gas: 3 new points; NG - Long Island: 2 new points; NG - Rhode Island: 13 new points; NG - Upstate NY: 12 new points; NGPL: 6 new points; PEPL: 1 new point; PetroLogistics: 1 new point; SE Supply Header: 2 new points; Sea Robin: 2 new points; Southern Star: 1 new point; Texas Eastern: 2 new points.more
9/7/2010 | 3:00 AM
Midcon Observer - Midcon Demand Bottoms Out Today; Southwest-W. Texas Incremental Flows Down
Demand is forecast to hit 7.2 Bcf/d today, a 1.0 Bcf/d drop, which will likely be revised up slightly, just like every other day this week. Power ... burn fell significantly, while res/comm kicked up with overnight lows creating heating demand. This heating demand will fuel tomorrow's expected increase to 8.3 Bcf/d, which could place upward pressure on Chicago and Michigan basis. Demand will then trend slightly above normal into next weekmore
9/3/2010 | 9:27 AMMidcon Observer (Daily)
Canadian Observer - Nova Scotia Production and Exports Possibly Affected by Hurricane
As Hurricane Earl approaches Nova Scotia, production and exports could be affected. ExxonMobil said it has already pulled nonessential workers ... of the Sable Offshore Energy Project. Sable Island production could be affected by about 225 MMcf/d, which was average production in August. Exports into the U.S. could also be affected by 168 MMcf/d (average receipts at Baileyville on Maritimes Pipeline). EnCana announced that it is evacuating 88 non-essential workers from a rig off Nova Scotia that is part of its Deep Panuke Project. BENTEK is still awaiting word on what Canaport will do in response to the hurricane.more
9/3/2010 | 8:08 AMCanadian Observer (Daily)
Southeast/Gulf Observer - Tighter Spreads Squeeze Marginal Supply
Softer demand and tighter spreads have reduced SE/Gulf outflows by 691 MMcf/d.  Inflows have responding accordingly, declining 647 MMcf/d.  As ... demand continues to fall, spreads are expected to tighten, pushing marginal supply back into producing areas.more
9/3/2010 | 6:42 AMSoutheast/Gulf Observer (Daily)
California SW Observer - California/SW Cash Prices Rally Amid Strong Demand
An interim hot spell in California has summoned buyers into the market in droves, indicating the market may have entered September short. West ... cash and forwards prices have shown unusual strength, gaining close to 40 cents in some cases in the past two days, relative to a 6-cent loss by Henry Hub in the same period. SoCal traded this week above Waha for the first time since May and outbound flows to Texas have fallen drastically. Cash prices typically fall ahead of the Labor Day weekend; last year California/SW cash prices shed nearly 10% of their value. But ongoing shortcovering this year could extend the rally into the weekend.more
9/3/2010 | 6:29 AMCalifornia SW Observer (Daily)
Pacific NW Observer - Pacific NW Sees Modest Gains in Demand, Large Gains in Cash Prices
Slightly above average weather is pushing demand up 26 MMcf/d today; however, West cash prices have had a huge rally over the past two days, ... indicating that the market may be short supply. Across the region, cash gains are close to $0.40 since Tuesday's trading, including $0.39 at Sumas. Heading into the holiday weekend, temperatures are expected to fall by nearly 20 degrees from Portland to Seattle, so weaker demand should be expected; however, given the current dynamics, cash may still see strength.more
9/3/2010 | 6:14 AMPacific NW Observer (Daily)
Rockies Observer - Rockies Production Reaches High For the Year
Production in the Rockies is down 168 to 9,376 MMcf/d after climbing to a high for the year of 9,544 MMcf/d yesterday.  Green River production ... saw the biggest drop falling 86 MMcf/d, while Piceance dropped 68 MMcf/d.  Outflows fell 131 MMcf/d as a result or production dropping, leaving implied storage injections down 36 to 67 MMcf/d.  Even with production reaching some of the highest levels of the year yesterday, Rockies cash basis continues to gain strength.  Over the last three days, Rockies basis has increased an average of 40 cent, to settle around ($0.47).  Most of the West has also seen this large jump, with SoCal climbing 30 cents in the last three days, while Sumas increased 39 cents.more
9/3/2010 | 6:05 AMRockies Observer (Daily)
Texas Observer - Basis Strengthens Across Texas
West Texas basis continues to strengthen on higher western demand, tightening spreads across Texas.  The Waha-to-Ship Channel and -Carthage spread ... have now tightened to $0.12 and -$0.04, respectively.  However, activity on the eastern side of the state also pulled basis higher.  At Carthage, Gulf South completed maintenance on its ETX to MS Line, which allowed an additional 240 MMcf/d of supply to move out of the Carthage area toward Perryville.  Ship continues to strengthen against Henry, reducing the incentive for shippers to move supply east.  Ship Channel basis increased $0.05 today to $0.07, reducing throughput by 301 MMcf/d.  The decrease in demand coupled with the decline in outflows pushed implied storage injections to over 2.0 Bcf/d for the first time this year.more
9/3/2010 | 6:04 AMTexas Observer (Daily)
Supply/Demand Balance Analytic Report - Northeast U.S. and Maritimes Canada Brace for Earl, Demand Drop Expected
U.S. demand has taken a significant step backward today, off 8.4 Bcf from levels seen yesterday.  The largest loss is in the Northeast U.S., ... largely due to Hurricane Earl.  The Midwest U.S. is also shedding demand.  In addition to the impact of the storm system, both the 6 to 10 day and 11 to 15 day temperature forecasts for the Northeast U.S. have dropped from yesterday (see Page 2).  Implied storage injections are up despite a slight drop in production day to day that appears to be caused by a Centerpoint nominations anomaly between E and I2 cycles.  Production for Sept. 3 will be back above the 62 Bcf mark tomorrow.more
9/3/2010 | 6:03 AMSupply/Demand Balance
Nuclear Plant Status Analytic Report - Little Change in Nuclear Outages Today
Today, total gas burn needed to replace nuclear outages fell 86 MMcf/d (17%) to 638 MMcf/d.
9/3/2010 | 6:00 AMNuclear Plant Status
Power Burn Analytic Report - Earl Knocks Out Power Burn in the Northeast
Northeast power burn is down 2.4 Bcf/d (30%) due mostly to Hurricane Earl cooling down the region.  Rain bands from Earl are covering several ... states this morning, and is expected to reach the majority of the East coast states by the end of the day.  The system reached the East coast late Thursday as a category 3 storm, which has now been downgraded to a category 2.  Earl is expected to move quickly along the East coast today, thereby minimizing impacts on power burn.  Few power outages have been reported due to the storm.more
9/3/2010 | 5:57 AMPower Burn Analytic Report (Daily)
Northeast Observer - Demand to Rebound Early Next Week Putting Upward Pressures on Prices
As cooler temperatures and Hurricane Earl make their way to the Northeast, total demand has decreased 1.1 Bcf/d today to 12.3 Bcf/d and is expected ... to average 10.5 Bcf/d through the Labor Day weekend. The cold front and rain are expected to move out of the region as rapidly as they are moving in, which has total demand for Sept. 7 at 11.6 Bcf/d, an increase of 1.1 BCf/d from the weekend average and is forecast to be around 11.2 Bcf/d through next week.  Expect gas cash prices to experience slight upward pressure in trading today as a result of next weeks increased demand. Power prices will feel the pressure on Tuesday as temperatures are forecast to be five degrees above normal.       •  Additional commentary on page 2.more
9/3/2010 | 5:53 AMNortheast Observer (Daily)
Industrial End Users Analytic Report - U.S. Industrial Demand at Lowest Level Since July
U.S. industrial demand fell 315 MMcf/d (2%) today to 15.8 Bcf/d. This is the third day of declines and is the lowest demand level seen since ... July 9.more
9/3/2010 | 5:51 AMIndustrial End Users
Gulf Coast Production Analytic Report - Gulf Coast Production Down 287 MMcf/d
Offshore production dropped 201 MMcf/d with declines of more than 100 MMcf/d on SONAT pipeline in the evening cycle for today's flows.  ANR pipeline ... also contributed to the decline, reporting a 55 MMcf/d drop in production in the Louisiana Offshore area.  Onshore production is down 86 MMcf/d today with flows declining on Tennessee pipeline in both Texas and Louisiana Onshore areas.more
9/3/2010 | 5:51 AMGulf Coast Production
Southeast/Gulf Observer - Soft Demand and Weak Prices Expected Over the Long Holiday Weekend
Net spreads from the SE/Gulf tightened today as demand slips lower heading into the long Holiday weekend.  Henry Hub cash traded down $0.07 and ... is expected to see continued weakness in today's trading.  Demand in most region is expected to soften significantly.more
9/2/2010 | 6:55 AMSoutheast/Gulf Observer (Daily)
Northeast Observer - Prices Will Experience Downward Pressure as Demand Begins to Decrease
Northeast cash prices were mixed in trading yesterday as most Northeast pricing points experienced downward pressure while Dracut, Transco Z6 ... and IGT REC found support or increased slightly even as Henry Hub dropped as much as $0.07 to $3.73.  Prices in the Premium Northeast Markets found support as temperatures are forecast to remain in the mid 90s through today. Expect Premium Northeast gas prices to experience downward pressure in trading today and tomorrow as a cold front combined with the effects of Hurricane Earl moves into the region, dropping demand 2.5 Bcf/d by Sept. 4.more
9/2/2010 | 6:50 AMNortheast Observer (Daily)
Rockies Observer (Weekly) - High Storage Levels Prompt Imbalance Warnings
Demand is expected to weaken this weekend and with high storage levels in the West, pipelines have limited ability to manage imbalances.  As ... a result, CIG has issued a Strained Operating Condition (SOC).  This along with weak demand due to the holiday weekend will put downward pressure on prices and cash basis (see below).more
9/2/2010 | 6:35 AMRockies Observer (Weekly)

 

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Indices display current Natural Gas flow, storage and production volume. Click on a type to view more information about that index.

Hub Flow IndexTM - With its proprietary, flow-data-gathering technology and groundbreaking methodology, BENTEK is able to distill natural gas movements in the U.S. interstate pipeline system to a single number. BENTEK’s Hub Flow IndexTM uses a base index of 1,000 to show daily how flows increase or decrease (above or below the base) over time. The Hub Flow Index TM shows cumulative flows across the 24 market centers/hubs that have prices associated with them. More

Storage OutlookTM - With nearly 400 active, underground storage facilities in the Lower 48 states, seasonal variations in inventories are difficult to track. BENTEK has refined the art of forecasting weekly storage number s well in advance. The Storage Outlook TM is BENTEK’s weekly forecast that is updated every Thursday. BENTEK’s storage forecast figures are among the natural gas industry’s most closely watched numbers. More

TX Intra FlowTM - The Texas Intra FlowTM number shows the daily net deliveries from intrastate to interstate pipelines. The number is an indication of Texas production, which is highly correlated with Texas exports. When the TX Intra FlowTM is up, then it indicates production is up. More

Gulf Production MonitorTM - As the premier, natural-gas-producing region in the country – Texas is the No. 1 gas producer and Louisiana is No. 2 – the Gulf Coast impacts flows and prices in every market in the United States. BENTEK’s Gulf Production MonitorTM provides a daily snapshot of regional production. The Gulf Production MonitorTM Shows in near-real time the impact of maintenance events or hurricanes on regional flows. More

BPI − BENTEK Productivity IndexTM - Recent improvements in drilling and completion technology along with new shale gas plays in the United States have counteracted the effectiveness of the conventional drilling rig count as a measure of future gas production. BENTEK, recognizing this shift in the relationship between drilling and production, created the BPI (BENTEK Productivity Index) to measure the effectiveness of rigs by reflecting the number of wells drilled per rig. More
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Indices Chg Date
Hub Flow 825 BBtu 1.3% 09/07
TX Intra Flow™ 3095 BBtu 0% 09/07
Gulf Production™ 8.4 Bcf 0% 09/07
BPI™ 3027 rigs 0.8% 09/01
Storage Outlook™ 54 Bcf 42.1% 08/31

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